The Force Behind President Trump’s Global Trade Overhaul: What’s Driving the Change?

TPO – One day in July last year in Miami, Mr. Peter Navarro was released from prison after 4 months of being imprisoned for disobeying the summoning order to take testimony in the investigation of the Capitol Power Disorder in 2021.

Just a few hours after being released from prison, Navarro flew to Milwaukee to speak at the Republican National Congress, where he showed strong support for candidate Donald J. Trump to re -run.

“They condemned me, they imprisoned me. Then how? They didn’t make me fall,” Navarro said, emphasizing every time the crowd cheered. It seems that Mr. Navarro for Mr. Trump has paid off.

Người thôi thúc Tổng thống Mỹ Trump đảo lộn thương mại toàn cầu ảnh 1

GrandfatherPeter Navarro, Trade Advisor of US President Donald Trump. (Photo: AP)

From alienation to empowering

During most of Mr. Trump’s first term, Navarro as a commercial adviser was released by other officials, ridiculed and lowered because they thought that his commercial protection view was wrong and dangerous for the United States.

But in the second Trump administration, Navarro, 75, an economist skeptical about trade, was given the right.

He returned to the Government with more confidence in revenge for the US economy, ignoring criticisms and drafted more than a dozen charms related to trade, many of them were signed by the president. Trump also returned to Washington with a greater determination, with the view that an unfair trade system is exploiting the United States and needs to be thoroughly changed.

When the first 100 -day milestone is comingPresident Trump, Mr. Navarro helped the US leader deploy half a new decision on trade. These steps have brought tariffs to an unprecedented level in a century, in an effort to limit US dependence on imported goods and forcing factories to return to the United States.

People who understand the situation in the government said Navarro may be the author ofrecipeThe controversy that the White House uses to calculate the levelreciprocal taxBased on the US trade deficit.

For more than 20 years, Navarro, who studied economics at Harvard University and was a member of the Democratic Party, constantly condemned the harmful effects that other countries, especially China, caused American workers.

Orthodox economists are somewhat sympathetic to Navarro’s view that globalization has taken millions of jobs in the US manufacturing industry and devastated a number of communities. But they criticize the use of tariff tools, saying that this measure will counterprodicate when increasing the price of goods and slowing growth.

Edward Alden, a trade research expert at the Foreign Relations Council, said that Navarro “could be the worst commercial adviser that any modern US President ever used”.

Alden said that many of Navarro’s analysis of unfair trade policies were reasonable, but the adviser promoted the most negative ideas of the president and promoted “chaotic tariff policies, harmful to the US and global economy”.

“He helped the President turn the US from the leading country in the world economy into a rogue country,” Mr. Alden told the newspaper.New York Times.

The Trump administration still shows a unified view of increasing taxes, but some advisers are increasingly worried about economic damage. Earlier this month, Mr. Navarro publicly fought with billionaire Elon Musk, whom he called “a car assembly”, not “car producer”. Mr. Musk responded that the commercial adviser was “stupid than a brick bag”, then added that this comparison was “unfair to bricks”.

Mr. Navarro was accustomed to insults. He has long become a joke for those who operate the corridor in Washington, research experts and economists, who said they felt shuddered at his ideas and mocked him for the odd things.

“Like the appointment of people who believe that the Earth is flat in the position of NASA,” said Bryan Riley, director of the free trade initiative of the National Tax Federation Federation, a group of conservative corridors.

Change for China

Navarro taught about business and economics at San Diego University, then the University of California. He also wrote books and comments on television. He wrote to prestigious economic magazines and co -authored the article to the later Nobel Prize. He has repeatedly elected as a member of the Democratic Party.

It was China’s joining the World Trade Organization (WTO) in 2001 to completely change Navarro’s view of both the Democratic and his career.

In the early 2000s, Navarro said his student at the University of California suddenly lost his job, and he began to pay attention to China’s impact on trade. Navarro assigned students to study how China valued their products cheaper than the rest of the world.

He said that the price of goodsChinaCheap not only because of cheap labor, but also for export benefits, monetary policies, lack of labor and environmental protection.

He put those things in the three books he wrote about China. One of them was “dying for China” he wrote with Greg Atry and published in 2011. The book was adapted into a documentary. The film was criticized by the press as an exaggeration, but it was supported by Mr. Trump, saying that those things were “completely true”.

Người thôi thúc Tổng thống Mỹ Trump đảo lộn thương mại toàn cầu ảnh 2
President Donald Trump listened to the White House Commercial Advisor Peter Navarro speaking at the Oval Office, April 17. (Photo: AP)

Backlash

The current question is whether an increase in tariffs can bring whatever Mr. Trump and Mr. Navarro promised or not.

The Trump administration is imposing a minimum tax rate of 10% with most products imported to the US, besides the separate tax rates with steel, aluminum and cars, opening surveys that can lead to increasing taxes with copper, sawn wood, semiconductor and pharmaceuticals.

Car manufacturers, electronic equipment, farmers and many other parties are putting pressure on the White House because of the damage they suffer from tariffs. Small companies say they are at risk of bankruptcy.

In government debates, some advisors, such as the Minister of FinanceScott BettingAnd the Director of the National Economic Council Kevin Hassett, argued that it is possible to use tariffs to bargain other countries to open the market. But Mr. Navarro continues to promote the maximum approach. Although he said that the United States would not produce everything they need, he objected to the tax exemption, even for things that were not produced in the US, the sources said.

Navarro may be losing in that debate. President Trump seems to have faltered before the chaos in the marketbond, led to the suspension of counterpart tax on nearly 60 countries in 90 days to wait for negotiations. The US leader also exempted taxes on electronics manufactured in China. He also talked about the ability to exempt industries like cars.

In the midst of chaos, there were rumors that Navarro was on the edge of the abyss.

In the programMeet the PressOn April 13, Mr. Navarro denied that he was marginalized and said the government’s policy was still “not exempted, not excluded”. Mr. Navarro claimed that everything was happening as planned.

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