After 3 times of the phone but did not convince Russian President Vladimir Putin to approve the ceasefire with Ukraine to pave the way for negotiations to progress, Donald Trump announced that he was out of patience.
In an attempt to be considered to be peaceful in Ukraine, US President Donald Trump announced the suspension of Kiev weapons aid, regarded it as a goodwill gesture of the US. However, after 3 times of the phone but did not convince Russian President Vladimir Putin to approve the ceasefire with Ukraine to pave the way for negotiations to progress, Donald Trump announced that he was out of patience.
On July 7, the US President announced it would continue to support weapons for Ukraine. On the surface, it seems that Mr. Donald Trump is “turning the car”. But stringing American statements and behaviors, we may notice a completely different image.
The dynamics are thought to be strange for the US president
On the one hand, the US president said that the Kremlin did not accept the proposal from the White House as a deterrent gesture and announced it would resume aid to Ukraine, which included a number of Patriot air defense missile systems, which Kiev desperately needed against UAV “rain” and Russian missiles. This action made Kiev breath relieved because at least, they also had rays of hope.
On the other hand, the US president provided that the United States would transfer weapons to Kiev, but the payment money, NATO had to pay 100%. And later, Kiev will reimburse in case the government is still existing as well as when the other government replaces.
While the Russian side only declared frankly and simply that the US and NATO continued to support weapons for Kiev only made the war lasting, the EU countries began to “solve a new problem”. It is a “money” issue, and also the “first” issue.
It is worth mentioning that in the condition of economic recession, EU countries have to struggle to restructure the systemfinanceTheir is at the level of “waist tie” to temporarily arrange enough budget for the annual defense with a minimum of 2.5% of GDP as the US (head of NATO) requires that the budget is now at risk of being thrown into the “bottomless barrel” in Ukraine.
While EU heads of state are struggling to handle this situation and respond to discontent, Mr. Donald Trump put on their discussion a new “card”: warning of 30% tax on goods from Mexico and EU.
The above content is shown in two letters published by him on social networks. And yet, on the day of France to celebrate the National Day (July 14), the US president continued to announce that it would impose up to 100% taxes on Russian trading partners if the country did not reach an agreement to settle settlement.Conflict in UkraineWithin the next 50 days.
In addition to major countries like China, India … there are also many EU countries and Turkey are also in the “Russian oil consumption customers”.
US President Donald Trump (Photo: Financial Times).
Initial reactions from the EU
EU countries have not been able to agree on responding to “sorrowful” situations from the actions of the United States.
While the European Parliament Council (EC) definitely rejected the idea of paying the batch of weapons that the United States will continue to supply to Kiev, the US Vice President, JD Vance, did not open up when declaring that he completely supported President Trump’s plan to transfer the majority of aid burden.militaryLet Ukraine go to European allies, thereby reducing the US Federal Budget costs.
The moves from the White House have set the EU in the choice of either of the two situations. Or accept to pay for American weapons to Ukraine so that Kiev will be refunded later. Or accept 30% taxes for goods from the EU imported into the US. In addition, EU countries that are consuming Russian and Türkiye oil will be imposed on export taxes to the US to 100%.
Finally, EU leaders also come to some temporary solutions. First of all, postponing retaliation for the 30% tax that the US imposed to continue negotiating. The second is to speed up the import of oil from Russia before August 1 to “dodge taxes”. Third is the calculation of payment of the amount of money to buy American weapons to aid to Ukraine.
Particularly in the issue of payment of weapons, there were two G7 powers, France and Italy and the Czech, Hungary and Slovakian nations refused to “go down money”.
France is the reason that this country needs to invest to develop its own defense industry in Europe to increase export value.
It means that they have no money.
And the Czech Republic said that it is focusing on other projects and methods to support Ukraine with an initiative to provide ammunition, so the country has not considered participating in the US project.
Slovakia and Hungary who have a friendly relationship with Russia so they rejected the payment bluntly that they thought was ridiculous.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky spoke in front of the Patriot air defense system at the back (Photo: AFP).
For Mr. Trump, the United States is still above all
Although not convincing the Russians accepted conditional ceasefire and sitting in high -level negotiations with Ukraine, Mr. Trump’s actions showed that he did not “turn the car”. Because of the views and goals he chose is different from the thoughts of the EU leaders.
Unlike his predecessor Joe Biden, Donald Trump considered the war in Ukraine as a “internal work” of Europe. And so, EU countries are responsible. And the US only supports as possible.
In this view, Americans do not have to spend money when they do not see any significant profits. The events on the battlefield showed that Ukraine was serious. Even 50% of the profits from lithium and soil exploitation that Kiev promised to “share” also disappeared quickly when the Russian army has owned most of these mines in Donbass.
President Donald Trump knew that EU leaders could not afford to put pressure on Russia both politically, economic potential, defense potential and military action through Kiev, so he wanted to drag the US into the game and then “enjoy the results”. Meanwhile, the promise of “America above all” is still there. And the only person who said this is his deputy.
Regarding the “ultimatum” extension for Russia to end the combat of Mr. Trump’s 50 days is also quite dim. And it is not clear what the US President uses to put pressure on Russia. Because the US and the Western embargo and punishment packages were enough, even redundant but Moscow was still standing and for the first time in 3 years, there was a positive growth in total GDP.
As for the US’s declaration of 100% tax on Russian products exported to the US, it seems that it is just a “wind blow”. Because over the years, the trade exchange between Russia and the United States has decreased gradually, to about 10 billion USD/year. Particularly in the first 6 months of this year, only 4 billion USD.
Meanwhile, Russian goods exported to the US include strategic materials such as uranium, titanium, lithium, rare soil …, which are essential for nuclear industry and other high -tech industries of the United States.
From the above moves, it can be seen that Mr. Donald Trump did not “turn the car”. In fact, he is “hammock” for some important goals:
The firstis, gradually pouring US responsibility for the war in Ukraine, something when returning to the White House, Donald Trump said frankly that it was “the war of Mr. Joe Biden” and “it should not happen.” The main issue is that the United States “withdraws in honor” successfully, not being famous for “abandoning allies” and venting the final responsibility for the EU.
MondayIs, keeping the position of the world’s leading power, can still “lead” allies and deterring rivals.
TuesdayIt is, focusing on the trade war with China, the country that Donald Trump considers the country that can compete directly with the United States, first of all, in terms of economics, then high technology and many other fields in the future.
WednesdayIt is, restraining Russia at a sufficient level to limit competition from this country while still trying to exploit beneficial aspects in relationships with Moscow.
ThursdayIt is, keeping the EU within the scope of influence of the United States but maintains the power of this bloc to prevent the influence of both Russia and China.
FinalAs an “attack” of the BRICS bloc, the organization that the Americans as well as the public opinion in the world all think that will be the counterweight of G7 in the near future.
Those are strategic goals. However, each term of the US President only 4 years that Mr. Trump has been in the last term, so achieving the above goals is very difficult. As for the end of the war in Ukraine, the decision to take the initiative seems to be in the hands of Russia, not in the hands of the United States and the West.
