Max Verstappen’s Red Bull Future in Doubt: Exit Clause Countdown Begins
As the 2025 Formula 1 season charges toward the Saudi Arabian Grand Prix, the spotlight isn’t just on the track but on a brewing crisis at Red Bull that could reshape the sport. Helmut Marko, the team’s influential advisor, has confirmed the existence of a performance-based exit clause in Max Verstappen’s contract, setting the stage for a potential departure as early as the summer break in August. With Red Bull’s RB21 struggling to match McLaren’s pace and Verstappen openly questioning his title chances, the four-time world champion’s frustration is palpable. As rumors swirl about a move to Aston Martin or Mercedes, the next few races will be critical in determining whether Red Bull can salvage their star driver’s trust or lose him to a rival in 2026.
Verstappen’s discontent came to a head in Bahrain, where a combination of car balance issues, brake problems, and consecutive pit stop blunders relegated him to a distant third place. His post-race comment—“I’m not fighting for the title this year”—sent shockwaves through the paddock, a stark departure from the dominance that secured him four consecutive championships. Currently third in the drivers’ standings, just eight points behind McLaren’s Lando Norris, Verstappen’s position is precarious, especially with a contract clause reportedly tied to maintaining a top-three ranking. Marko, in an interview with German outlet Formula1.de, acknowledged the clause, stating, “Every top driver has an exit clause if the performance is not good.” While he downplayed immediate concerns, his admission that the summer break is the “window” for discussions underscores the urgency within Red Bull’s camp.
The Bahrain debacle prompted an emergency meeting at Red Bull, highlighting the team’s technical and emotional turmoil. Despite a morale-boosting win in Suzuka, the RB21’s weaknesses—exposed in overtaking and tire degradation—remain glaring. Marko emphasized that car upgrades, expected by Imola, are crucial to restoring Verstappen’s confidence and closing the gap to McLaren, who lead the constructors’ championship by 58 points. Ferrari and even Mercedes have outperformed Red Bull in 2025, adding pressure to deliver a car capable of fighting for wins. Failure to do so could trigger Verstappen’s exit clause, allowing him to walk away from a contract that runs until 2028.
Speculation about Verstappen’s next move is rife, with Aston Martin emerging as a strong contender. The team’s acquisition of Adrian Newey, Red Bull’s design guru, and their partnership with Honda, who powered Verstappen’s title-winning cars, make them an attractive destination. Honda’s president, Koji Watanabe, has openly expressed a desire to reunite with Verstappen, praising his engineering feedback and professionalism. Mercedes, meanwhile, is rumored to be holding a seat open, bolstered by their anticipated strength under the 2026 regulations. Sky F1 reports suggest paddock insiders believe Verstappen’s departure is imminent, with some claiming a deal with Aston Martin is already in motion.